The best thing about next week’s Home Run Derby at the All-Star Game may be Josh Bell getting some recognition on the national stage. It’s not easy these days getting attention playing for the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team stuck in .500-ish mediocrity ever since a 98-win season in 2015 ended in a wild-card loss to the Cubs, but Bell’s 2019 numbers should not go unnoticed and I suspect he will win over many new fans with some mammoth blasts in the competition.
In this year of the souped-up rabbit ball, it’s easy to be suspect of some of the big power numbers and attribute individual improvement to the baseball. After all, just go back to 1930 or 1950 or 1987 — other famous juiced-ball seasons — and you can see some of the best fluke seasons in major league history. Bell’s improvement, however, appears legit. He hits the ball hard, he hits the ball far and he looks like a player who finally understands his swing and his strength.
In the Pirates’ ridiculous 18-5 win over the Cubs on Monday, Bell hit his 23rd, 24th and 25th home runs, part of a 4-for-6 night with seven RBIs. And none of those home runs came off Cubs infielder Daniel Descalso, forced into mop-up duty late in the game. Bell’s three home runs:
• First inning off Adbert Alzolay, 109.2 mph exit velocity, 402 feet, off an 0-1 95 mph fastball;
• Second inning off Alzolay, 94.6 mph, 367 feet, off a first-pitch curveball;
• Eighth inning off Craig Kimbrel, 109.3 mph, 404 feet, off a 2-1 96 mph fastball.
Oh, he also singled (105.8 mph) and flied out (98.9 mph). In fact, his only weak contact of the night came on a groundout against Descalso. In other words, it was a very good night. He wasn’t the only Pirates hero on this night. Adam Frazier went 5-for-6 with FOUR doubles, making the Pirates the first team since the 1950 Red Sox (and just the second team since 1900) to have a player with three home runs and another with four doubles in the same game. Colin Moran also went 5-for-5, making the Pirates the first team with two five-hit players since C.J. Cron and Carlos Perez did it for the Angels in 2016.
The Pirates finished the game with 12 extra-base hits, their second-most as a franchise in the live-ball era (since 1920) — although not unique to 2019 as the Twins have had games with 13 and 12 extra-base hits earlier in this season.
As for Bell, he hit 26 home runs as a rookie 2017, but dropped off to 12 in 2018 in a disappointing .261/.357/.411 season. A big key has been a more aggressive approach. Consider some of his swing metrics:
• He has a swing rate of 49.6 percent, up from 43 percent in 2018.
• His swing rate of 79 percent on pitches in the strike zone is up from 67.9 percent.
• His swing rate of 40.2 percent on the first pitch is up from 27.8 percent. He has eight first-pitch home runs.
Bell had a good walk rate in 2017 and 2018, but his passivity at the plate seemed to work against him at times. Now he’s jumping at pitchers earlier in the count and it has paid off with a much higher average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. It has cut into his walk rate a bit, but obviously the new approach has paid off.
A reason to buy into his first half: It’s not just the home runs. He also has 29 doubles and three triples, giving him an obscene 57 extra-base hits already:
Josh Bell: 57 extra-base hits (3 HR tonight) is most by a National League player through the team’s first 83 games of a season since Henry Aaron (57) in 1959
— Christopher Kamka (@ckamka) July 2, 2019
In other words, this guy is smoking the ball all over the field. He’s on pace for 112 extra-base hits, which would be the third-highest total of all-frickin’-time — the only players with more than 107 are two dudes named Ruth (119 in 1921) and Gehrig (117 in 1927).
So even as the Pirates appear headed to another .500-ish season, if this is who Bell is and will be, he’s obviously going to be the focal point of a better Buccos ballclub in the future. You can hopefully include rookies Bryan Reynolds (.351/.415/.541) and Kevin Newman (.327/.372/.482) in that category as well, giving the Pirates their best foundation on offense since those playoff teams from 2013 to 2015. They’ll need to find another power bat or two to help Bell and the starting rotation has been a disappointment — even beyond Jameson Taillon ‘s injury — so it’s not exactly clear if that future could be 2020 or a year or two beyond that.
For the present, however, the Pirates have a new star. Make sure not to miss him next week.
Here’s Bell’s first-inning home run:
More of this next Monday.#BELLieve pic.twitter.com/srsXebjHdN
— Pirates (@Pirates) July 1, 2019
And here’s Frazier going off:
He collected 🖐 hits tonight.
This is the @A_Fraz12 hit reel.Enjoy 🎥: pic.twitter.com/t2Tkzo8NQJ
— Pirates (@Pirates) July 2, 2019
Yelich hits No. 30: MLB home run leader Christian Yelich hit No. 30 in the ninth inning of the Brewers’ 8-6 win over the Reds, one of three home runs for the Brew Crew (the Reds also hit three). This one was unusual: It was the first home run of 2019 for Yelich on an 0-2 pitch and just the fifth of his career. Do you want to see it? Of course you do:
#30 for the MVP! #ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/iMEC6tJJEb
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 2, 2019
OK, not exactly his most impressive of the season. In fact, I’m not exactly sure how he hit that one out. Then again, here’s Eugenio Suarez one-handing a home run earlier in the game:
Geno for the lead! #BornToBaseball pic.twitter.com/imN30cFVK3
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) July 2, 2019
Yelich is the first NL player with 30 home runs before the All-Star break since Albert Pujols in 2009.
McKay makes hitting debut: Rays two-way player Brendan McKay impressed in his first start on Saturday, taking a perfect game into the sixth inning and finishing with one hit over six frames while throwing an efficient 81 pitches. He made his first start at DH in Monday’s 6-3 win over the Orioles and as his minor league stats would suggest, his pitching is far ahead of his hitting. He went 0-for-4, although did put all four balls in play. He did smoke one ball 106.4 mph, but all four balls were groundouts and the other three were not hit hard. He had hit .167 in Double-A, but after his promotion to Triple-A, he did hit .265/.400/.551 with four home runs in 49 at-bats, so there is some potential there with the bat.
When the Rays took McKay fourth overall in the 2017 after hitting .341 with 18 home runs for Louisville, some teams preferred him as a hitter. After posting 1.22 ERA in the minors this year, he’s proven much more polished as a pitcher and it was clear he wasn’t going to learn much more by pitching in Triple-A. He’s ready as a pitcher, but I think it will be a challenge for the Rays to get him consistent at-bats. It’s one thing to DH him against the Orioles, but it’s another if you’re playing the Yankees, Tampa Bay’s next opponent (McKay is scheduled to start on Thursday). Still, he’s an exciting player and for now the Rays will continue developing him as a two-way player.