Follow live: Lamar, Ravens take on Chargers in battle of first-place squads

NFL

ESPN’s win probability strongly agreed with Brandon Staley’s decision to go for it on 4th-and-1 from the Chargers’ own 19 yard line in the third quarter.

Chargers needed just a 37% chance of conversion to justify going for it. Expected conversion rate for a league average team was 63%. That makes it a clear-as-day go decision.

WP go: 3.0%
WP punt: 2.4%

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Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics20m ago

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